The Universal Serial Bus (USB) has been the most successful interface in the history of PCs. While the firstgeneration USB standard was introduced in 1996, it first emerged after Microsoft included native support forit in Windows 98. This led to near universal support in the PC market, and a growing share of PC peripheraland consumer electronic device markets. Today, USB connections can be found in a range of devices, fromPC cameras to scanners, printers, digital camcorders and digital modems.

USB 2.0 is poised to succeed the first generation USB standard, USB 1.x. It offers 40 times the speed of USB1.x, yet is compatible with all USB 1.x devices. PCs will adopt the new standard quickly. PCs enabled with USB2.0 host controllers will be seen on the market in large numbers in the first half of 2002. PCs with USB 2.0integrated into the core logic chip set will come onto the market in the second half of 2002.

USB 2.0 should completely penetrate the PC market over the next two to three years, with PC peripheralsand consumer electronics following closely behind. Those devices which require higher speeds, such as externalhard drives and external optical drives, should be the first to adopt the new standard, with significant numbersof these devices coming on to the market in 2002.

This report contains five-year forecasts broken down by both application and USB specification.

Table of Contents

• Executive Summary
• Methodology
• Introduction
  • USB 1.x
  • USB 2.0
  • USB On-The-Go
  • USB 2.0 & IEEE 1394 - Complements or Competitors?
• Applications & Forecast
  • PCs
    • Desktop PCs
    • Notebook PCs
    • Host Controllers
    • A Note About Legacy-Free PCs
  • PC Peripherals
    • Scanners
    • Ink Jet & Laser Printers
    • PC Cameras
    • External Storage
      • Magnetic
      • Optical
    • External Digital Modems
    • Flash Card Readers
    • Hubs
    • Keyboards & Mice
    • Gamepads & Joysticks
  • Consumer Electronics
    • Digital Still Cameras
    • Digital Camcorders
    • Personal Digital Assistants
    • Set Top Boxes
    • Digital Music Players
    • Video Game Consoles
    • Mobile Phones
  • Forecast Summary
• USB Silicon Suppliers
  • Agere
  • Cypress Semiconductor
  • NEC
  • Philips
  • Texas Instruments
  • TransDimension

List of Tables

• Table 1. Total USB-enabled Device Summary Forecast by USB Type (Units in Thousands)
• Table 2. Summary of USB Penetration of PC Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 3. USB Penetration of Desktop PC Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 4. USB Penetration of Notebook PC Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 5. USB Host Controller Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 6. Summary of USB Penetration of PC Peripheral Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 7. USB Penetration of Scanner Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 8. USB Penetration of Ink Jet and Laser Printer Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 9. USB Penetration of PC Camera Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 10. USB Penetration of External Magnetic Storage Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 11. USB Penetration of External Optical Storage Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 12. USB Penetration of External Digital Modem Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 13. USB Penetration of Flash Card Reader Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 14. USB Hub Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 15. USB Penetration of Keyboard Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 16. USB Penetration of Mouse Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 17. USB Penetration of Gamepad & Joystick Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 18. Summary of USB Penetration of Consumer Electronics Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 19. USB Penetration of Digital Still Camera Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 20. USB Penetration of Digital Camcorder Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 21. USB Penetration PDA Cradle Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 22. USB On-The-Go Penetration of PDA Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 23. USB Penetration of Set Top Box Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 24. USB Penetration of Portable Digital Music Player Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 25. USB Penetration of Video Game Console Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 26. USB Penetration of Mobile Phone Market Forecast (Units in Thousands)
• Table 27. Total USB-enabled Device Summary Forecast by USB Type (Units in Thousands)

List of Figures

• Figure 1. Total USB-enabled Device Summary Forecast by USB Type