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Restaurants Market Report 2006

DateSep, 2006
Pages125
Price / format$756 / Online Download

$756 

Report Information | Custom-Tailored Research | Product Trade Lead


Abstract:
 Consumers spent £13.25bn on sit-down meals in restaurants in 2005, a market growth of 19% since 2001. Although this figure excludes any spending on alcoholic drinks to accompany meals, it represents around a third of the total consumer catering market (which also includes takeaway food and canteens).

Choice is characteristically broad in the UK, owing to the willingness of the British to adapt to new styles of eating and drinking from all over the world. Portuguese chicken, Japanese sushi and Spanish tapas have joined the more traditional curry houses and French or Italian restaurants found in most British towns. However, the most traditional British venue — the local pub or hotel — still has the highest sector share of formal, sit-down restaurant meals (excluding fast food such as burgers and fried chicken), while other distinct concepts include pizza, curry and roadside restaurants.

Ownership of most restaurants is still fragmented across individuals and families, and there is growing consumer distaste for the more obvious `chains'. However, the market does boast some successful multiples, led by the US-based fast-food giants (McDonald's, Burger King and Yum! Brands — owner of Pizza Hut and KFC), and some outstanding UK groups, including Whitbread Group (Brewers Fayre pub-restaurants), The Restaurant Group (Frankie & Benny's), Gondola Group (Pizza Express) and Nando's. Private equity has been heavily invested in restaurant groups in this decade.

The latest consumer research for Key Note shows that Pizza Hut is the most widely used non-fast-food restaurant chain (by 32% of adults), but most of the branded chains have been losing customers. In July 2006, the international owner of Pizza Hut, Yum! Brands Inc, announced it is buying back the 50% share in the UK business held by Whitbread.

The market will continue to grow even if the economy slows down later in the decade. This is because eating out has become a major element in the lifestyles of younger generations, and the older `baby boomer' generation has been brought up with an expectation of eating out regularly. Problems and challenges for restaurants in the future will include the demand for healthier eating, labour shortages and a torrent of red tape from both UK and EU governments.


Table of contents:
Executive Summary
1. Market Definition
REPORT COVERAGE
MARKET SECTORS
Fast Food (Eat-In Meals)
Pubs and Hotels
Traditional Asian Restaurants
Pizza/Pasta Restaurants
Chicken Restaurants
Roadside Restaurants
British Cafés and Restaurants
Other Restaurants
MARKET TRENDS
Eating Out as a Leisure Activity
Greater Choice of Restaurants
Menu Diversification
Tackling Obesity Claims
More Specialisation and Private Equity Investment
ECONOMIC TRENDS
Population
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2001-2005
Gross Domestic Product
Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 2001-2005
Inflation
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2001-2005
Unemployment
Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 2001-2005
Household Disposable Income
Table 5: UK Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£), 2001-2005
Consumer Confidence
Table 6: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000, £ and £bn), 2005-2006
MARKET POSITION
The UK
Table 7: Weekly Household Expenditure on Restaurant, Café and Takeaway Meals and Drinks (£), 2001-2005
Overseas
2. Market Size
The Total Market
Table 8: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001-2005
Figure 1: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001-2005
Table 9: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† at Current and Constant Prices (£m at rsp and index 2001=100), 2001-2005
Fast Food Versus Other Meals
Table 10: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001-2005
BY MARKET SECTOR
Table 11: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Type of Restaurant by Value (£m and %), 2001-2005
Figure 2: The Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Type of Restaurant by Value (%), 2005
Fast Food (Eat-in Meals)
Pubs and Hotels
Traditional Asian Restaurants
Pizza/Pasta Restaurants
Chicken Restaurants
Roadside Restaurants
British Cafés/Restaurants
Other International Restaurants
3. Industry Background
RECENT HISTORY
INDUSTRY SYNOPSIS
Table 12: Financial Results for UK Restaurants, 2006
Number of Companies
Table 13: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurant/Takeaway Businesses, 1998-2005
Table 14: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurant/Takeaway Businesses by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2002 and 2005
Employment
Table 15: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged as Restaurant/Takeaway Businesses by Employment Sizeband (number and %), 2005
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE
Table 16: Regional Variations in Use of Restaurants in the Evening (% of adults), 2006
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
LEGISLATION
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
British Hospitality Association
HOTREC
Pizza, Pasta & Italian Food Association
4. Competitor Analysis
THE MARKETPLACE
MARKET LEADERS
Table 17: Leading Chain Restaurant Operators in the UK by Number of Restaurants, 2004 and 2006
Table 18: Leading Restaurant Groups by Turnover and Estimated Turnover in the UK (£m), Latest Year End
Whitbread Group PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Yum! Brands Inc
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Burger King
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Gondola Group Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
The Restaurant Group PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Tragus Holdings Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Nando's Chickenland Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Wimpy International Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Little Chef
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Paramount PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Other Restaurant Companies
Carluccio's Cafés PLC
Clapham House Group Ltd
Conran Restaurants Ltd
Giardino Group Ltd
Harlequin Leisure Group Ltd
La Tasca Restaurants PLC
Loch Fyne Restaurants Ltd
Prezzo PLC
Wagamama Ltd
Yo! Sushi Ltd
Contract and Retail Caterers
Pub-Restaurants and Hotels
Roadside Catering and Coffee Shops
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
Table 19: Main Media Advertising Expenditure in the Restaurant and Pub Sectors (£m), Years Ending March 2002-2006
Table 20: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Restaurants (£000), Years Ending March 2005 and 2006
Other Marketing Activity
Exhibitions
5. Brand Strategy
INTRODUCTION
LARGEST BRANDS
Table 21: The Largest Restaurant Brands in the UK by Number of Restaurants, 2006
RESEARCH FINDINGS
Table 22: Restaurant Brands Eaten in During the Last Year (% of adults), 2001, 2003 and 2006
Table 23: Usage of Top Four Restaurant Brands in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Family Status (% of adults), 2006
Table 24: Usage of Other Restaurant Brands in the Last 12 Months by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Family Status (% of adults), 2006
6. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
7. Buying Behaviour
Consumer Penetration
Evening/Day Use of Restaurants
Table 25: Day/Evening Use of Restaurants in Last 3 Months by Type of Restaurant (% of adults), 2006
Use of Restaurants by Type
Table 26: Restaurant Eaten in During the Last Year by Type (% of adults), 2006
Usage of Restaurant Types by Demographic Group
Table 27: Use of Top Four Generic Types of Restaurant by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Presence of Children (% of adults), 2006
Table 28: Use of Other Generic Types of Restaurant by Sex, Age, Social Grade and Presence of Children (% of adults), 2006
8. Current Issues
CORPORATE ACTIVITY AMONG MAJOR GROUPS
PUB AND PUB-RESTAURANT DEVELOPMENTS
SMOKING BANS
RESTAURANT CONCEPTS
CELEBRITY CHEFS
9. The Global Market
INTRODUCTION
EATING OUT PATTERNS
GLOBAL COMPANIES
10. Forecasts
INTRODUCTION
Population
Table 29: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2006-2010
Gross Domestic Product
Table 30: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2006-2010
Inflation
Table 31: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2006-2010
Unemployment
Table 32: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 2006-2010
FORECASTS 2006 TO 2010
Table 33: The Forecast Total UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2006-2010
MARKET GROWTH
Table 34: Forecast Market Growth in the UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2001 to 2010
Figure 3: Forecast Market Growth in the UK Restaurant Meals Market† by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2001 to 2010
FUTURE TRENDS
Underlying Reasons for Optimism
The Potential Negative Factors
Changes by Type of Restaurant
11. Company Profiles
Burger king Ltd
Gondola Group Ltd
Kentucky Fried Chicken (great Britain) Ltd
McDonald's Restaurants Ltd
Nando's Chickenland Ltd
The Restaurant Group Plc
Whitbread Group Plc
12. Company Financials
13. Consumer Confidence
METHODOLOGY
KEY FINDINGS THIS QUARTER
THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW
Confidence Declines Again
Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006
Signs That the Decline Could be Bottoming Out
Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006
THE WILLINGNESS TO SPEND FROM SAVINGS
Sharp Decline in Spending from Savings
Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006
Table D: The Proportion of Adults Without Any Savings (%), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006
Borrowing Grows in Relative Importance
Table E: The Average Amounts Adults are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), May 2005, August 2005, November 2005, February 2006 and May 2006
14. Further Sources
Associations
Government Sources
General
Bisnode Sources





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